Forecast

Here's a bit of a refinement to the forecast that I posted on the 29th of April.

From where we are now on the 14th of May I expect to see the following and will use breadth to confirm as it plays out or not, as the case may be:

1. Generally higher into mid June. Best pick for a high is the 15th of June.
2. Lower into late June to late July. There is no clear concentration of cycles on one date but I will be very wary of any long signals before the 20th of July (Node - Mars opposition).
3. Higher into mid August to early September. Again there is no major cycle cluster but I expect that the Saturn - Uranus near trine on the 10th of September will prevent any collapse before then and the market may even continue higher after then with Mercury on the upswing.
4. Down into early December, looking for a low around the 6th (Node - Pluto opposition).
5. There are a couple of positive aspects in late December that may support a year end of rally, but by the time December arrives ALL of the MAJOR cycles will have passed their peak so the risk of downside suprises will be huge.

If markets tank into the end of the year then the best dates for setting up shorts may well prove to be:

1. 2nd of October; and
2. 29th of October.

In 2019 there is very little in terms of positive cycles until we get to late November or mid December. Jupiter and Uranus will make a trine on the 16th of December which is nearly always a high of some degree.

The negative cycles for the first three quarters of the year however suggest nothing less than a severe bear move with the peak negative cycles falling from the 17th of September to the 21st of October. The peak negative cycles will also be coinciding coincide with the annual downdraft of declinations so with that in mind the best date for loading up shorts will likely be:

1. 30th of July;
2. 26th of August; (Happy Anniversary!!)
3. 23rd of September.