Scorpio Moon

Back in the 1920's W.D. Gann issued a forecast stating that 'there could be panicky conditions in the Fall' of 1929.

I have long been puzzled by this forecast however when I've looked at the astrological charts everything has appeared to be unremarkable.

Importantly:

• Jupiter is midway through it's transit of Gemini, which is generally positive for markets.
• Saturn and Uranus (especially Uranus) are not making any significant hard aspects to other planets.

What I have done now though is to look at the new moons and that has proven to be a whole different story!

The chart below shows the sky for the New Moon on the 3rd of October. This was one month after the September 3rd high (which was also a new moon) but before the sharp portion of the 1929 crash. 

Uranus is always the driver for sudden changes so with that in mind the reason for Gann's forecast is now as plain as day!!

What about 1987 then? I have posted previously about the effect of the planetary declinations on the crash however the declinations generally fall in the second half of every year whereas the 1987 crash was a rare event so presumably something else is at play. 

The chart below is for the New Moon on the 23rd of September 1987. As with the 1929 moon this is one month after the market top. Note that the New Moon is again making a hard aspect with Uranus. In this case the aspect is not exact however the New Moon also brought a Solar Eclipse which I think must be a factor.

For the sake of comparison it is also worth looking at the chart below which was the New Moon at the August high in 1987. Pretty cheery eh.

The link below has some information regarding the eclipse referred to above.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_eclipse_of_September_23,_1987

90 Year Cycle

The 90 Year Cycle (as I understand it at least) is actually two 45 year Saturn - Uranus synodic cycles and brings both planets back to nearly the exact same place in the zodiac (progressed by less than 30 degrees of longitude).

It might be argued that the cycle should be anchored at a conjunction, however given the similar effects of squares and oppositions it is worthwhile to use any of the negative aspects at 11.25 year intervals as a starting point.

Given the above consider the following:

Firstly the 1837 panic: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panic_of_1837

"... Banks collapsed, businesses failed, prices declined and thousands of workers lost their jobs. Unemployment may have been as high as 25% in some locales. The years 1837 to 1844 were, generally speaking, years of deflation in wages and prices."

This is of course basically the same story as the 1930's depression which (using the DJIA as a proxy) occurred 90 years later from 1929 to mid 1932.

Adding another 90 years brings us to the present time and implies a major high around 2017 to 2019. The forthcoming Saturn-Uranus square then suggests that the bear market low will occur around 2020 to 2022 however another important factor is that the lunar node cycle is about to turn down for the next 9.3 years and so an even lower low may yet occur around 2027.

Forecast

Here's a bit of a refinement to the forecast that I posted on the 29th of April.

From where we are now on the 14th of May I expect to see the following and will use breadth to confirm as it plays out or not, as the case may be:

1. Generally higher into mid June. Best pick for a high is the 15th of June.
2. Lower into late June to late July. There is no clear concentration of cycles on one date but I will be very wary of any long signals before the 20th of July (Node - Mars opposition).
3. Higher into mid August to early September. Again there is no major cycle cluster but I expect that the Saturn - Uranus near trine on the 10th of September will prevent any collapse before then and the market may even continue higher after then with Mercury on the upswing.
4. Down into early December, looking for a low around the 6th (Node - Pluto opposition).
5. There are a couple of positive aspects in late December that may support a year end of rally, but by the time December arrives ALL of the MAJOR cycles will have passed their peak so the risk of downside suprises will be huge.

If markets tank into the end of the year then the best dates for setting up shorts may well prove to be:

1. 2nd of October; and
2. 29th of October.

In 2019 there is very little in terms of positive cycles until we get to late November or mid December. Jupiter and Uranus will make a trine on the 16th of December which is nearly always a high of some degree.

The negative cycles for the first three quarters of the year however suggest nothing less than a severe bear move with the peak negative cycles falling from the 17th of September to the 21st of October. The peak negative cycles will also be coinciding coincide with the annual downdraft of declinations so with that in mind the best date for loading up shorts will likely be:

1. 30th of July;
2. 26th of August; (Happy Anniversary!!)
3. 23rd of September.

1987

First up here is a (slightly butchered) chart of the SP500 that I found on the internet. The bright red marks are my additions.

Next I'm going to show a bit of planetary phenomena from that time period.

First up is Saturn and Uranus on the same chart. What's notable to me is that both planets made lows in March and April, then moved up to highs in late July and early September before turning South again... correlating nicely with final run up in the SP500 from April/May to late August.

Next is Mars and Jupiter. Mars made it's high in May and then trended down for the rest of the year. Jupiter was in an overall uptrend but made a short term reversal that timed almost exactly with the August high and the secondary low in early December.

Mercury and Venus next. Mercury was the last to top and the first to bottom on the 1st of August and 16th of October respectively.

The 16th of October was a Friday and the "Black Monday" crash came one trading day later on Monday the 19th... Almost perfect!

Lastly the Moon. The moon orbits too fast to have a consistent trend for the entire course of a bear market but it did trend down during the fastest part of the crash from it's maximum North on the 13th of October. Many of it's max/min and zero points during that year also timed other major points on the price chart including the August high and October low (with a 2 day allowance).

So... During the 1987 crash every single planet from the Moon all the way out to Uranus trended down.

Does anyone have a coincidence theory for that?